10spro wrote:
Actually I see many more Wilson-Kaepernicks to come. The old guard is led by true pocket passers, Manning, Brady, Drew Brees. But when you look around the landscape, at the young QB's who are excelling, most share a common makeup: They can hurt you with their arm and legs. I can't think of a young QB today that has thrived in the pocket. You look at the QB's with the potential to go high in the draft this year, and they have the same trait of the starters in the NFC championship yesterday.
I completely agree with you on this, but I think it's a function of football economics more than teams trying to get the best play out of their QB's. The old model was enormously high risk. It's difficult to evaluate passers because the college and pro games are so different. The batting average of front offices was low and the cost of signing a premier pocket passer was high. You were also wedding yourself as a team to a long development curve, with players often carrying clipboards for a season or more.
With the new CBA, the risk is totally turned around. First contracts are dirt cheap. Now it incentivizes putting your rookies and other 1st contract players on the field ASAP to get maximum value. There's no reason to coddle a young QB because you'll draft a cheap replacement when he has to get paid or (more likely) meets the fate of almost every running QB in the history of the NFL and becomes ineffective due to injury.
So yes, many teams are putting in these option-heavy offenses. You have players like Kaepernick, a young veteran at this point who has been through an enormous amount of post-season football in two seasons, still looking at his wristband on every play and running 1-read pass plays like he's a rookie or a back-up.
You can clearly win this way. Spend less on QB and that frees up a tremendous amount of salary cap for other spending. There are many ways to build a team and most NFL front offices see this clearly. So I don't begrudge these players their gigs or the NFL teams for constructing their rosters this way. But I do see a significant difference between the quality of play and the offensive production that these players give you versus a traditional QB who can go through his progressions and make all of the throws on the route tree.