Bakes wrote:How do you guys see this fight playing out? I'm a pretty casual boxing fan but I'm excited for this fight. From what I've seen/read Canelo should have a good chance as a small dog in this fight?
This is a true 50-50 fight.
GGG has more power, but he has shown increasing vulnerability to getting hit when fighting stiffer foes. Canelo is an excellent counterpuncher with solid power, which could deter GGG from constantly attacking.
Canelo looks HUGE for this fight. He really has bulked up. I don't think he's jacked up because he thinks a knockout is the only avenue to victory. He probably added muscle because he knows this could be a brutal, inside fight. GGG throws a lot of punches for a middleweight and rarely relents in his attack. He's happy to hit arms, shoulders and hips to break down a man before dropping TNT on his jaw.
One big plus of this fight: Both guys are TREMENDOUS body punchers who love to throw upstairs-downstairs combinations. Don't be surprised to see this fight end on a paralyzing liver shot. You will see two of the most skilled practitioners of body punching in the Sweet Science Saturday night.
The difference in this fight to me is the lead hand of both guys, not their power hand. Golovkin has a jackhammer left jab; Canelo has a tremendous lead left hook. I think GGG will be able to use that jab as an offensive weapon, not just a range finder, more often than Canelo can get off lead left hooks, which could be decisive.
One more fact to consider, sadly. This is a Golden Boy card. Canelo is the franchise fighter for Golden Boy. So expect the judges to side with Canelo in any close decision, as promoters inexplicably pay judges in boxing, not the state commissions.
"You know why I love boxers? I love them because they face fear. And they face it alone." - Nick Charles
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